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urn:uuid:27ee8b2e-cd7f-420e-97ab-5ae534bb78e4 03 15 9781800647893 00 EB E101 10 01 01 The Era of Global Risk An Introduction to Existential Risk Studies 1 B01 SJ Beard SJ Beard is an Academic Programme Manager and Senior Research Associate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. They work across CSER’s research projects, including foundational research on the ethics of human extinction; developing methods to study extreme, low probability, and unprecedented events; understanding and addressing the constraints that prevent decision-makers taking action to keep us safe; and building existential hope in the possibility of safe, joyous, and inclusive futures for human beings on planet earth. They have a PhD in Philosophy and an MSc in Philosophy and Public Policy from the London School of Economics. As well as research, SJ has extensive experience across politics and policy-making, including as a researcher in the UK parliament, think tanks, and NGOs. They have taught moral and political philosophy and provide mentorship and supervision through Magnify Mentoring and the Effective Thesis Project. 2 B01 Martin Rees Martin Rees is the UK’s Astronomer Royal and a Crossbencher in the House of Lords. He is based at Cambridge University where he is a Fellow (and former Master) of Trinity College. He is a former President of the Royal Society and a member of many foreign academies. His research interests include space exploration and cosmology. He is a co-founder of the Centre for the Study of Existential Risks at Cambridge University (CSER), and has served on many bodies connected with education, space research, arms control, and international collaboration in science. In addition to his research publications he has written many general articles and ten books, including, most recently, ‘On the Future: Prospects for Humanity’, ‘The End of Astronauts’, and ‘If Science is to Save Us’. 3 B01 Catherine Richards Catherine Richards has 15+ years of experience at the intersection of real assets, emerging technology, and sustainability. During her time at CSER (2020–2022), where she co-edited this book, Catherine’s research developed our understanding of global risks, governance mechanisms and technical solutions in relation to complex critical infrastructure systems, largely focused on environmental risks, future foods biotechnology, digital twins, and artificial intelligence. She is now working as a management consultant at a top tier firm. Previously, Catherine developed strategy for a climate tech start-up. She dabbled in novel materials and real estate constructions while completing her PhD(Eng) at Cambridge on energy transition, climate change and agri-food supply chain risk. Prior to that, she was an engineer at a top Fortune 500 company in the energy sector and government corporation in the water sector, the latter while completing her BEng(Civ) and BEng(Env) at University of Newcastle, Australia. Catherine has multiple publications in top academic journals, including the Nature portfolio; is a John Monash scholar; and was recognised in Forbes’ 30 Under 30 for Industry Innovation. 4 B01 Clarissa Rios Rojas Clarissa Rios Rojas is a science diplomat, a government science advisor and, currently, a Research Associate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (University of Cambridge), where she works at the interface of science and policymaking. Clarissa researches the risks coming from emerging technologies and also builds science-policy interfaces that can provide scientific evidence and advice to different policy stakeholders (public sector, businesses and civil society). Clarissa has worked closely with different international organisations building programmes for women’s economic empowerment (UN Women), writing white papers on policy for economic transformation and frontier risks (WEF’s Future Councils), collaborating on the production of reports on Foresight (G20, WHO), leading Science Government Advice workshops (Global Young Academy/INGSA), and mentoring scientists in the Global South (UN’s Biological Convention Program), among others. She is also an expert advisor for the OECD (on Global Catastrophic Risks), the UN Secretary-General’s High-Level Advisory Board (on Effective Multilateralism), the UK parliament (bill on Future Generations), and the UNDRR (new scientific agenda for the Sendai Framework). Her website is: www.clarissarios.com/ 01 eng 00 334 03 23 Existential Risk Studies 12 GPQD 10 NAT011000 23 Politics and Sociology 23 Environmental Studies 12 JFFS 23 Natural systems 10 POL033000 12 GTF 10 POL028000 23 Technological advances 23 Environmental breakdown 12 JFF 10 SOC026000 23 Natural disasters 23 Nuclear threats 23 Management 23 Research 01 06 03 00 This innovative and comprehensive collection of essays explores the biggest threats facing humanity in the 21st century; threats that cannot be contained or controlled and that have the potential to bring about human extinction and civilization collapse. Bringing together experts from many disciplines, it provides an accessible survey of what we know about these threats, how we can understand them better, and most importantly what can be done to manage them effectively.These essays pair insights from decades of research and activism around global risk with the latest academic findings from the emerging field of Existential Risk Studies. Voicing the work of world leading experts and tackling a variety of vital issues, they weigh up the demands of natural systems with political pressures and technological advances to build an empowering vision of how we can safeguard humanity’s long-term future. The book covers both a comprehensive survey of how to study and manage global risks with in-depth discussion of core risk drivers: including environmental breakdown, novel technologies, global scale natural disasters, and nuclear threats. The Era of Global Risk offers a thorough analysis of the most serious dangers to humanity. Inspiring, accessible, and essential reading for both students of global risk and those committed to its mitigation, this book poses one critical question: how can we make sense of this era of global risk and move beyond it to an era of global safety? 04 00 Preface Introduction 1. A Brief History of Existential Risk and the People Who  Worked to Mitigate It 2. Theories and Models: Understanding and Predicting  Societal Collapse 3. Existential Risk and Science Governance 4. Beyond “Error and Terror”: Global Justice and Global  5. We Have to Include Everyone: Enabling Humanity to  Reduce Existential Risk 6. Natural Global Catastrophic Risks 7. Ecological Breakdown and Human Extinction 8. Biosecurity, Biosafety and Dual Use: Will Humanity  Minimise Potential Harms in the Age of Biotechnology? 9. From Turing’s Speculations to an Academic  Discipline: A History of AI Existential Safety 10. Military Artificial Intelligence as a Contributor to Global Catastrophic Risk Afterword Contributor Biographies Index Open Book Publishers 01 Open Book Publishers 04 01 20230823 02 WORLD 06 15 9781800647862 06 15 9781800647879 06 15 9781800647886 06 15 9781800647923 06 15 9781800647916 06 15 9781800647893 WORLD 09 Open Book Publishers 20 02 5.99 GBP WORLD